Rotherham United 2-1 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.46
2-3 Goals
35%
2.01
4-5 Goals
29%
2.53
6+ Goals
12%
5.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
1.62/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.47
-13% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
241 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 72%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
27.5 Crosses 18.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Peterborough United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 0.89
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
169 Passes 296
62% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-3 HT 1-3 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
25.01.2020 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 2-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
29.12.2019 Rotherham United Rotherham United 4-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
30.03.2018 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
19.08.2017 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
22.03.2014 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-1 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
2-1
AWAY Peterborough United
1.72 xG 0.64
44% Ball Possession 56%
22 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
291 Passes 403
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotherham United edged past Peterborough United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rotherham United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Rotherham United had 44% of the ball to Peterborough United's 56%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.72 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rotherham United and 1.33 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Peterborough United?

Rotherham United 2-1 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 43%, draw 24%, Peterborough United 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rotherham United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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