Shrewsbury 1-2 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

Shrewsbury
1-2 HT 0-0
Crawley Town
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Shrewsbury vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 29% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shrewsbury v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.10/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.37
-13% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
219 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards –

Shrewsbury vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Crawley Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
3.29 xG 1.28
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
213 Passes 322
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
12.10.2024 Crawley Town Crawley Town 3-5 HT 1-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
11.03.2014 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-1 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN1
14.09.2013 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
01.04.2013 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN1
08.12.2012 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-2 HT 1-2 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
27.02.2012 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-1 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2

Shrewsbury 1-2 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
1-2
AWAY Crawley Town
1.27 xG 1.64
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
235 Passes 629
78% Pass Accuracy 91%
18 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crawley Town squeezed past Shrewsbury 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Crawley Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 32% of the ball to Crawley Town's 68%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.27 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.33 for Crawley Town.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Crawley Town?

Shrewsbury 1-2 Crawley Town in the England - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 32%, draw 29%, Crawley Town 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crawley Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crawley Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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