Northampton Town 1-1 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.49
6+ Goals
9%
24.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.17/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.12
+1% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
248 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 69%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.2 Crosses 17.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.23 xG 1.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
240 Passes 317
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-1 HT 2-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
13.01.2024 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
12.08.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
09.02.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
31.10.2020 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-3 HT 0-2 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
01.01.2018 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
1-1
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.21 xG 1.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 9
187 Passes 216
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
9 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Northampton Town vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northampton Town and Wigan Athletic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Northampton Town had 46% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 54%, shots finished 3-11, expected goals 0.21 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Northampton Town and 1.50 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Wigan Athletic?

Northampton Town 1-1 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northampton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 35%, draw 30%, Wigan Athletic 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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