Leicester City 2-0 Southampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.27/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.28
-20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.7 Crosses 18.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Southampton
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.37 xG 1.06
52% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
396 Passes 360
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Southampton Southampton 2-3 HT 2-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
23.04.2024 Leicester City Leicester City 5-0 HT 1-0 Southampton Southampton İNCL
15.09.2023 Southampton Southampton 1-4 HT 1-3 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
04.03.2023 Southampton Southampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
20.08.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 1-2 HT 0-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
22.05.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 4-1 HT 0-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
2-0
AWAY Southampton
1.40 xG 0.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
399 Passes 396
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leicester City vs Southampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City got the better of Southampton 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Leicester City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Leicester City had 50% of the ball to Southampton's 50%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.40 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Leicester City and 1.17 for Southampton.

What was the final score of Leicester City vs Southampton?

Leicester City 2-0 Southampton in the England - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Southampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 37%, draw 28%, Southampton 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leicester City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leicester City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
3 May 2025
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