Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-2
Arsenal
İNP
3-2
HT 0-1
Bournemouth
İNP
0-3
HT 0-2
Arsenal
İNP
Arsenal 1-2 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
Bournemouth edged past Arsenal 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Arsenal at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Arsenal had 50% of the ball to Bournemouth's 50%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.42 to 0.97 — the balance of chances actually favoured Arsenal.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Arsenal and 0.83 for Bournemouth.
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Bournemouth?
Arsenal 1-2 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Bournemouth?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 45%, draw 27%, Bournemouth 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Arsenal) went the other way.