Bournemouth vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bournemouth v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-2
Arsenal
İNP
3-2
HT 0-1
Bournemouth
İNP
0-3
HT 0-2
Arsenal
İNP
1-2
HT 0-2
Arsenal
FAK
Bournemouth 2-0 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics
Bournemouth got the better of Arsenal 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Arsenal at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Bournemouth had 49% of the ball to Arsenal's 51%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.82 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bournemouth and 2.67 for Arsenal.
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Arsenal?
Bournemouth 2-0 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Arsenal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 29%, draw 23%, Arsenal 48%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.