Fulham vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fulham v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
Fulham vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Fulham
İNP
0-2
HT 0-1
Aston Villa
HAZPL
1-0
HT 1-0
Fulham
İNP
3-0
HT 1-0
Aston Villa
İNP
3-1
HT 0-0
Fulham
İNP
Fulham 1-3 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa saw off Fulham 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Fulham at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Fulham had 52% of the ball to Aston Villa's 48%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.78 to 1.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fulham and 1.83 for Aston Villa.
What was the final score of Fulham vs Aston Villa?
Fulham 1-3 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fulham vs Aston Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fulham 42%, draw 25%, Aston Villa 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fulham) went the other way.