Ipswich Town 0-2 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.2
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
16%
5.1
X/2
13%
6.3
X/X
13%
4.66
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
12%
4.31
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.56/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.23
+10% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
Crosses 16.6
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Everton
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
02.02.2002 Everton Everton 1-2 HT 1-2 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
13.10.2001 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
24.02.2001 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
30.09.2000 Everton Everton 0-3 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
0-2
AWAY Everton
1.25 xG 1.74
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
419 Passes 319
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton beat Ipswich Town 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ipswich Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 55% of the ball to Everton's 45%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.25 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ipswich Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Ipswich Town and 0.25 for Everton.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Everton?

Ipswich Town 0-2 Everton in the England - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 43%, draw 26%, Everton 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ipswich Town)
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