Manchester United 2-1 Brentford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

Manchester United
2-1
Brentford
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Manchester United vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
6.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+
10%
14.1
X/1
17%
4.25
X/2
9%
9.9
X/X
10%
6.22
2/1
7%
20.15
2/2
14%
6.65
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Brentford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.96/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.45
-13% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.5 Crosses 15.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Manchester United vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Brentford
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 1.60
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
480 Passes 252
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 34
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
07.10.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-1 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
05.04.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 1-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
13.08.2022 Brentford Brentford 4-0 HT 4-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
02.05.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 3-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
19.01.2022 Brentford Brentford 1-3 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP

Manchester United 2-1 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
2-1
AWAY Brentford
51% Ball Possession 49%
23 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
410 Passes 407
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Brentford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United nicked a narrow win over Brentford 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manchester United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Manchester United had 51% of the ball to Brentford's 49%, shots finished 23-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Manchester United and 1.17 for Brentford.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Brentford?

Manchester United 2-1 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Brentford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 46%, draw 25%, Brentford 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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