Longford Town 2-1 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 51%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.13/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.21
-15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wexford Youths
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 3-1 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
21.09.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
03.06.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-2 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
27.04.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
16.04.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-2 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
25.09.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Longford Town
2-1
AWAY Wexford Youths
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town edged past Wexford Youths 2-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 40%) promised a tight game; Longford Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Longford Town had 42% of the ball to Wexford Youths's 58%, shots finished 11-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Longford Town and 1.83 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Wexford Youths?

Longford Town 2-1 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 37%, draw 22%, Wexford Youths 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wexford Youths) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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