Deportivo Alaves 0-0 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 3 May 2025

Deportivo Alaves
0-0 HT 0-0
Atletico Madrid
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.61
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 36% vs market 33.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.84
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
10%
7.22
X/2
16%
4.71
X/X
12%
3.92
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
23%
3.02
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.6pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Alaves v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.13/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.07
-10% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
21.4 Crosses 14.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 1.34
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
225 Passes 475
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.11.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
21.04.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
29.10.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
02.04.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
25.09.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
21.03.2021 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1

Deportivo Alaves 0-0 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
0-0
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.50 xG 0.54
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
182 Passes 410
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves and Atletico Madrid played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Madrid at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 35% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 65%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.50 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.50 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?

Deportivo Alaves 0-0 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 27%, draw 27%, Atletico Madrid 45%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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