Winterthur 2-0 Grasshoppers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
14.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 24% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.03
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
13%
6.01
X/2
11%
5.61
X/X
12%
4.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
29.5
2/2
21%
3.62
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.08/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.23
-21% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
15.7 Crosses 16.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.18 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
311 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
23.11.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
05.10.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
09.03.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 2-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
03.02.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
12.08.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 3-1 HT 1-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
2-0
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.35 xG 0.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
198 Passes 291
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Grasshoppers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur beat Grasshoppers 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Winterthur made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Winterthur had 42% of the ball to Grasshoppers's 58%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.35 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Winterthur and 0.33 for Grasshoppers.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Grasshoppers?

Winterthur 2-0 Grasshoppers in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Grasshoppers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grasshoppers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 37%, draw 25%, Grasshoppers 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grasshoppers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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