LDU Quito vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
LDU Quito v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
LDU Quito vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
LDU Quito 2-2 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
LDU Quito and El Nacional shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had LDU Quito at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, LDU Quito had 65% of the ball to El Nacional's 35%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 1.19 to 2.00.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for LDU Quito and 0.33 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of LDU Quito vs El Nacional?
LDU Quito 2-2 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 55%, draw 23%, El Nacional 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.