Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 29%
+15% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.46/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.39
+16% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
301 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2024 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
12.03.2022 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-2 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
05.09.2021 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
29.11.2020 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
22.08.2020 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
31.10.2019 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow edged past Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Baltika Kaliningrad at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 1.17 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Torpedo Moscow?

Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 49%, draw 29%, Torpedo Moscow 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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