Shinnik 0-2 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.01/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.96
+1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Chernomorets
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.11.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
18.03.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 1-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
09.09.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 2-1 HT 1-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
0-2
AWAY Chernomorets
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets beat Shinnik 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chernomorets as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Shinnik had 62% of the ball to Chernomorets's 38%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shinnik had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shinnik and 0.67 for Chernomorets.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs Chernomorets?

Shinnik 0-2 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 29%, draw 30%, Chernomorets 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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