Chayka 0-3 Alaniya Vladikavkaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 May 2025

Chayka
0-3 HT 0-1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

Chayka vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.7pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.6pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chayka v Alaniya Vladikavkaz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 22%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.24/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.97
-18% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Chayka vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chayka
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-3 HT 1-2 Chayka Chayka RUS1
15.11.2020 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-1 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
08.08.2020 Chayka Chayka 0-3 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
07.08.2018 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-3 HT 0-2 Chayka Chayka RUK
POST-MATCH Chayka vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alaniya Vladikavkaz cruised past Chayka 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chayka at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chayka had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Chayka and 1.75 for Alaniya Vladikavkaz.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Chayka 0-3 Alaniya Vladikavkaz in the Russia - FNL on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chayka win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chayka 47%, draw 31%, Alaniya Vladikavkaz 22%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chayka), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chayka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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