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Manchester City (K) vs Liverpool (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manchester City (K) v Liverpool (K) — Team-Based Signals
Manchester City (K) vs Liverpool (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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1-0
HT 1-0
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Liverpool (K)
İNKPL
2-1
HT 1-0
Liverpool (K)
İNKPL
Manchester City (K) 1-0 Liverpool (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Manchester City (K) squeezed past Liverpool (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Manchester City (K) had 58% of the ball to Liverpool (K)'s 42%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.39 to 1.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Manchester City (K) and 0.67 for Liverpool (K).
What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs Liverpool (K)?
Manchester City (K) 1-0 Liverpool (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs Liverpool (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 64%, draw 20%, Liverpool (K) 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.