Las Palmas 2-1 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.95
No
43%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.94
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 22% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.11
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.15
X/1
18%
3.98
X/2
8%
9.92
X/X
10%
4.89
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.35
2/2
8%
8.43
2/X
9%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.35 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+10.0pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.43/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.47
-7% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
15.2 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Valladolid
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 1.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
305 Passes 370
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.11.2025 Valladolid Valladolid 0-1 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
28.02.2025 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
07.12.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-1 HT 1-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
19.03.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 0-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
15.12.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 3-1 HT 1-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İSPK
15.08.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
2-1
AWAY Valladolid
0.70 xG 1.10
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
514 Passes 366
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas squeezed past Valladolid 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Las Palmas as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Las Palmas had 56% of the ball to Valladolid's 44%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.70 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Las Palmas and 1.00 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Valladolid?

Las Palmas 2-1 Valladolid in the Spain - 2nd Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 53%, draw 27%, Valladolid 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Palmas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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