Dender EH 2-1 La Louvière — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY La Louvière EU Bookmakers 42%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
2W-1D-0L
AWAY La Louvière
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.30 xG 1.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
332 Passes 274
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2026 La Louvière La Louvière 0-1 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
05.12.2025 La Louvière La Louvière 1-2 HT 1-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
28.09.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 0-0 HT 0-0 La Louvière La Louvière BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
2-1
AWAY La Louvière
1.37 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 Passes 290
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs La Louvière
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH nicked a narrow win over La Louvière 2-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dender EH found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dender EH had 50% of the ball to La Louvière's 50%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 1.37 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dender EH had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dender EH and 0.33 for La Louvière.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs La Louvière?

Dender EH 2-1 La Louvière in the Belgium - Pro League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs La Louvière?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 38%, draw 26%, La Louvière 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dender EH), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dender EH) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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