Vitoria 4-1 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 3 May 2026

Vitoria
4 - 1 HT 2 - 1
Coritiba
📅03/05/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Vitoria vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.52
Over
38%
2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.07
No
53%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.25
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
15%
5.0
6+
3%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.11
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
17%
4.63
X/2
10%
6.76
X/X
22%
3.66
2/1
2%
31.5
2/2
12%
5.59
2/X
5%
14.55
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Vitoria v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Vitoria The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba The Market 30%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.24 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.03
0.91 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.36
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3

Vitoria vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Coritiba
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.78 xG 1.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
289 Passes 323
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
23.09.2021 Vitoria Vitoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
23.06.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
30.11.2019 Vitoria Vitoria 1-2 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
28.08.2019 Coritiba Coritiba 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
29.08.2017 Coritiba Coritiba 0-1 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
28.05.2017 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1

Vitoria 4-1 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria
4 - 1
AWAY Coritiba
2.08 xG 0.60
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
480 Passes 277
92% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Vitoria vs Coritiba
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vitoria overpowered Coritiba 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vitoria as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 61% to 39% in Vitoria's favour, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 2.08 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coritiba led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Vitoria against 0.83 for Coritiba.

Vitoria vs Coritiba Result & Final Score

Vitoria 4 - 1 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vitoria vs Coritiba Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 44%, draw 32%, Coritiba 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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