Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Flamengo v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Flamengo 2-2 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo and Vasco da Gama finished all square at 2-2. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
File this under upsets: a 69% lean on Flamengo went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 52% and both teams to score at 48%. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.69, about 59%.
The match data tells the story: Vasco da Gama saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 2.15 to 1.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Flamengo against 0.67 for Vasco da Gama.
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama Result & Final Score
Flamengo 2 - 2 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 69%, draw 19%, Vasco da Gama 12%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No went the other way.