Palmeiras vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Palmeiras v Santos — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Palmeiras 1-1 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras and Santos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
File this under upsets: a 63% lean on Palmeiras went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 47%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.67, roughly 60%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 54% to 46% in Palmeiras's favour, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 2.25 to 1.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Palmeiras against 0.67 for Santos.
Palmeiras vs Santos Result & Final Score
Palmeiras 1 - 1 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Palmeiras vs Santos Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 63%, draw 23%, Santos 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palmeiras), BTTS No went the other way.