Cruzeiro 1-3 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.59
Over
40%
2.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.07
No
54%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.41
2-3
48%
1.73
4-5
16%
4.57
6+
3%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.48
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
19%
4.16
X/2
8%
8.46
X/X
20%
4.01
2/1
2%
28.5
2/2
10%
7.38
2/X
5%
15.95
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cruzeiro The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro The Market 24%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.56 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.71
1.01 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.40
Average Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.06 xG 0.65
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
201 Passes 375
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.10.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
12.09.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRK
28.08.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-2 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BRK
19.05.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
19.01.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro HAZ
11.08.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
1 - 3
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.15 xG 1.52
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
433 Passes 171
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 15
34 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atletico Mineiro took care of Cruzeiro 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2.

A gentle 52% lean on Cruzeiro didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 69% to 31% in Cruzeiro's favour, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.15 to 1.52.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Cruzeiro against 0.17 for Atletico Mineiro.

Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro Result & Final Score

Cruzeiro 1 - 3 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 52%, draw 29%, Atletico Mineiro 19%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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