Vasco da Gama 0-0 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
20.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 34% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
13.45
1/2
11%
27.5
1/X
6%
22.45
X/1
6%
14.15
X/2
13%
3.65
X/X
12%
5.28
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
28%
1.8
2/X
10%
19.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-13.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 69%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
0.81/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.78
-36% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +5%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
219 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
21.6 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Flamengo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.10 xG 1.86
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
269 Passes 430
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
02.06.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-6 HT 1-3 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
22.10.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
06.06.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-4 HT 0-4 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
20.03.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-3 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BRC1
14.03.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 3-2 HT 2-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BRC1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
0-0
AWAY Flamengo
0.57 xG 1.98
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
238 Passes 488
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasco da Gama and Flamengo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 36% of the ball to Flamengo's 64%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.57 to 1.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vasco da Gama and 3.00 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?

Vasco da Gama 0-0 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 20%, draw 29%, Flamengo 51%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Flamengo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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