Juventude 2-2 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
4.49
6+ Goals
8%
22.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 33% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.34
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
17%
5.13
X/2
10%
6.64
X/X
18%
3.98
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
9%
5.0
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.8 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mirassol FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.46 xG 1.08
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
217 Passes 334
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
8 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.08.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR2
13.05.2023 Juventude Juventude 0-1 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
2-2
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.30 xG 2.36
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
267 Passes 364
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 44
30 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude and Mirassol FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventude had 45% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 55%, shots finished 19-25, expected goals 1.30 to 2.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Juventude and 0.50 for Mirassol FC.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Mirassol FC?

Juventude 2-2 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventude win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Juventude 40%, draw 31%, Mirassol FC 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventude) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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