Gremio 1-1 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
5.21
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
11%
6.68
X/2
7%
5.12
X/X
13%
3.63
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
22%
3.44
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.7pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.3pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +25%
0.97/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.87
-26% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +55%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
15.6 Crosses 18.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Internacional
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.79 xG 1.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
272 Passes 370
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
22.06.2024 Gremio Gremio 0-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
08.10.2023 Internacional Internacional 3-2 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
22.05.2023 Gremio Gremio 3-1 HT 2-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
06.03.2023 Gremio Gremio 2-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BRG1
24.03.2022 Gremio Gremio 0-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BRG1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio
1-1
AWAY Internacional
1.45 xG 2.05
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
182 Passes 347
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 18
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gremio vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gremio and Internacional shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Gremio had 39% of the ball to Internacional's 61%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.45 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gremio and 1.33 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Gremio vs Internacional?

Gremio 1-1 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gremio vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gremio 35%, draw 28%, Internacional 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Internacional), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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