Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Flamengo v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Flamengo 1-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Flamengo and Vasco da Gama with a point apiece.
File this under upsets: a 73% lean on Flamengo went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 61% to 39% in Flamengo's favour, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.54 to 0.42.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Flamengo against 0.67 for Vasco da Gama.
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama Result & Final Score
Flamengo 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 73%, draw 17%, Vasco da Gama 10%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.