Sport Recife vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sport Recife v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sport Recife 1-0 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife found just enough to beat Corinthians 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sport Recife found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (62%) came home.
Under the surface, Sport Recife had 41% of the ball to Corinthians's 59%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.71 to 0.77.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sport Recife and 1.50 for Corinthians.
Sport Recife vs Corinthians Result & Final Score
Sport Recife 1 - 0 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sport Recife vs Corinthians Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 31%, draw 33%, Corinthians 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Corinthians) went the other way.