Internacional 2-3 Gremio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.67
Over
44%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.58
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
19%
4.16
6+
4%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.47
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.45
X/1
19%
4.14
X/2
9%
8.17
X/X
17%
4.3
2/1
3%
26.5
2/2
10%
6.95
2/X
5%
15.8
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Internacional The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gremio The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.45 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.09
0.75 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.57
Average Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gremio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.82 xG 0.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
366 Passes 254
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.04.2025 Gremio Gremio 1-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
19.10.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
22.06.2024 Gremio Gremio 0-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
08.10.2023 Internacional Internacional 3-2 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
22.05.2023 Gremio Gremio 3-1 HT 2-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
06.03.2023 Gremio Gremio 2-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BRG1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
2 - 3
AWAY Gremio
4.41 xG 0.62
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
366 Passes 271
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
39 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Internacional vs Gremio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gremio edged past Internacional 3-2 on the road. Level at 2-2 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

A gentle 52% lean on Internacional didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Internacional had 57% of the ball to Gremio's 43%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 4.41 to 0.62 — the balance of chances actually favoured Internacional.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Internacional and 1.33 for Gremio.

Internacional vs Gremio Result & Final Score

Internacional 2 - 3 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Internacional vs Gremio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Internacional 52%, draw 27%, Gremio 21%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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