Ceara 1-1 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 21 Sep 2025

Ceara
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Bahia
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Ceara vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.48
Over
35%
2.3
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.12
No
55%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.12
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
14%
5.41
6+
2%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.06
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
13%
5.29
X/2
14%
5.43
X/X
23%
3.49
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.22
2/X
5%
14.2
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Ceara v Bahia — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ceara The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.81 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.30
0.80 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.25
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Ceara vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bahia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.27
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
308 Passes 352
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.04.2025 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
28.10.2021 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
17.06.2021 Ceara Ceara 1-2 HT 1-2 Bahia Bahia BR1
08.05.2021 Ceara Ceara 1-2 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BRCDN
01.05.2021 Bahia Bahia 0-1 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BRCDN
06.12.2020 Bahia Bahia 0-2 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1

Ceara 1-1 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
1 - 1
AWAY Bahia
2.14 xG 1.17
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
194 Passes 476
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Ceara vs Bahia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ceara and Bahia traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (65%) came in, no to both teams scoring (55%) didn't.

Under the surface, Ceara had 32% of the ball to Bahia's 68%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.14 to 1.17.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ceara and 1.00 for Bahia.

Ceara vs Bahia Result & Final Score

Ceara 1 - 1 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ceara vs Bahia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Ceara 34%, draw 34%, Bahia 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
21 Sep 2025
00:30 Botafogo vs Atletico Mineiro Analysis →
03:00 Palmeiras vs Fortaleza Analysis →
22:00 Mirassol FC vs Juventude Analysis →
23:30 Sport Recife vs Corinthians Analysis →
23:30 Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama Analysis →
23:30 Internacional vs Gremio Analysis →