RC Strasbourg vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities
RC Strasbourg v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals
RC Strasbourg vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
RC Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics
Toulouse squeezed past RC Strasbourg 2-1 on the road. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Toulouse as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (58%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 54% to 46% in RC Strasbourg's favour, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.41 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for RC Strasbourg against 0.83 for Toulouse.
RC Strasbourg vs Toulouse Result & Final Score
RC Strasbourg 1 - 2 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
RC Strasbourg vs Toulouse Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 31%, draw 27%, Toulouse 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toulouse), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.