Lille 1-1 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 3 May 2026

Lille
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Le Havre
📅03/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Lille vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
72%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
10%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.95
Over
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.12
No
55%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.31
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.33
6+
6%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.66
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
4%
19.0
X/1
22%
3.66
X/2
4%
14.9
X/X
11%
6.04
2/1
3%
23.95
2/2
5%
13.45
2/X
3%
22.25
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Lille v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lille The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre The Market 15%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.01 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.74
0.60 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.91
Weak Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Strong
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
453 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
30 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Lille vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lille
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Le Havre
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.34 xG 1.02
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
510 Passes 271
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.11.2025 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
08.02.2025 Lille Lille 1-2 HT 0-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
28.09.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 0-3 HT 0-2 Lille Lille FR1
17.02.2024 Lille Lille 3-0 HT 2-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
01.10.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 0-2 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
26.07.2023 Lille Lille 3-2 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre HAZ

Lille 1-1 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lille
1 - 1
AWAY Le Havre
1.55 xG 0.16
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 2
10 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 5
428 Passes 177
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
53 Box Touches 16
43 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Lille vs Le Havre
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lille and Le Havre couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Lille carried 72% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The one blemish: no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Lille had 67% of the ball to Le Havre's 33%, shots finished 22-2, expected goals 1.55 to 0.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lille and 0.67 for Le Havre.

Lille vs Le Havre Result & Final Score

Lille 1 - 1 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lille vs Le Havre Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Lille 72%, draw 18%, Le Havre 10%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lille) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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