Lyon 4-2 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 3 May 2026

Lyon
4 - 2 HT 2 - 1
Rennes
📅03/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Lyon vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.29
Over Pick
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.56
2-3
42%
1.88
4-5
29%
2.74
6+
11%
7.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.72
1/2
2%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.4
X/1
14%
5.09
X/2
9%
7.24
X/X
16%
5.61
2/1
3%
21.35
2/2
16%
4.69
2/X
6%
12.95
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Lyon v Rennes — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lyon The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes The Market 32%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.98 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
1.29 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.60
Great Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

Lyon vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rennes
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.53 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
448 Passes 336
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2025 Rennes Rennes 3-1 HT 0-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
26.04.2025 Lyon Lyon 4-1 HT 3-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
18.08.2024 Rennes Rennes 3-0 HT 2-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
26.01.2024 Lyon Lyon 2-3 HT 0-3 Rennes Rennes FR1
12.11.2023 Rennes Rennes 0-1 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
09.04.2023 Lyon Lyon 3-1 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1

Lyon 4-2 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon
4 - 2
AWAY Rennes
3.17 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
333 Passes 344
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
38 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Lyon vs Rennes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lyon had too much for Rennes 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 50% to 50% in Lyon's favour, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 3.17 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Lyon against 1.83 for Rennes.

Lyon vs Rennes Result & Final Score

Lyon 4 - 2 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lyon vs Rennes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lyon 47%, draw 26%, Rennes 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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