Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Polokwane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.44
No
52%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
72%
-4.8pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
12%
Away Win
9%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
37%
+11.3pp
52%
BTTS No
63%
-11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 12%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.61/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.23
+46% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +4%
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
434 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 71%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.3
13.1 Crosses 12.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Polokwane City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.49 xG 0.67
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
540 Passes 165
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2026 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
06.11.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
27.10.2024 Polokwane City Polokwane City 1-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
11.08.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAF8K
30.12.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
30.08.2023 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
3-0
AWAY Polokwane City
1.79 xG 1.48
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 5
570 Passes 171
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns cruised past Polokwane City 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 71% of the ball to Polokwane City's 29%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.79 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.17 for Polokwane City.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?

Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Polokwane City in the South Afrika - Premier League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 68%, draw 21%, Polokwane City 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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