V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
V-Varen Nagasaki v Nagoya Grampus — Team-Based Signals
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-4
HT 1-1
V-Varen Nagasaki
JAP
3-0
HT 1-0
Nagoya Grampus
JAP
1-1
HT 0-0
Nagoya Grampus
JAP2
V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 Nagoya Grampus — Actual Match Statistics
Nagoya Grampus edged past V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Nagoya Grampus made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 50% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 50%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.20 to 0.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured V-Varen Nagasaki.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.25 for Nagoya Grampus.
What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 35%, draw 26%, Nagoya Grampus 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.