Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tokyo Verdy v Kashiwa Reysol — Team-Based Signals
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Actual Match Statistics
Tokyo Verdy nicked a narrow win over Kashiwa Reysol 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Tokyo Verdy found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 26% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 74%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.51 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 1.83 for Kashiwa Reysol.
What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 34%, draw 30%, Kashiwa Reysol 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), BTTS Yes went the other way.