Kashima Antlers 1-1 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +0%
1.17/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.96
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.8 Crosses 18.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
342 Passes 237
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.03.2026 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-3 HT 0-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
27.08.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-0 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JPK
21.06.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-1 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
03.05.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 1-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
08.12.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-1 HT 3-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
22.05.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-0 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
1-1
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.68 xG 0.81
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
426 Passes 267
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers and Machida Zelvia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kashima Antlers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 60% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 40%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.68 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kashima Antlers and 1.33 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Machida Zelvia?

Kashima Antlers 1-1 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 42%, draw 26%, Machida Zelvia 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kashima Antlers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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