Machida Zelvia 0-3 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.74
6+ Goals
10%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +20%
1.33/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.31
+16% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.4 Crosses 18.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.12 xG 0.91
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
198 Passes 339
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-0 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JPK
21.06.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-1 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
03.05.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 1-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
08.12.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-1 HT 3-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
22.05.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-0 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
09.03.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
0-3
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.81 xG 1.89
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
350 Passes 455
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers ran out comfortable winners over Machida Zelvia 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Machida Zelvia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 44% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 56%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.81 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Machida Zelvia and 0.83 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Kashima Antlers?

Machida Zelvia 0-3 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 41%, draw 27%, Kashima Antlers 33%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Under 2.5
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