Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tigres UANL v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tigres UANL 3-1 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL put daylight between themselves and Guadalajara 3-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both.
On the day, possession split 58% to 42% in Tigres UANL's favour, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.03 to 1.01.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Tigres UANL against 0.50 for Guadalajara.
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Result & Final Score
Tigres UANL 3-1 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 52%, draw 26%, Guadalajara 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.