Academica 1-0 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -24%
1.59/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.43
+11% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Varzim
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 1.51
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 262
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2026 Varzim Varzim 0-1 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
19.05.2024 Academica Academica 2-3 HT 2-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
30.03.2024 Varzim Varzim 0-2 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
19.07.2023 Academica Academica 2-1 Varzim Varzim HAZ
22.01.2022 Varzim Varzim 1-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR2
14.08.2021 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
1-0
AWAY Varzim
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Academica vs Varzim
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Academica edged past Varzim 1-0 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 3 May 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Academica had 49% of the ball to Varzim's 51%, shots finished 8-7.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Academica and 1.00 for Varzim.

What was the final score of Academica vs Varzim?

Academica 1-0 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Academica 55%, draw 25%, Varzim 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5
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