Paredes 2-2 AD Marco 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paredes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.54/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-55% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
321 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paredes
3W-0D-0L
AWAY AD Marco 09
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.02.2026 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 0-2 HT 0-0 Paredes Paredes POR3
11.01.2026 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 0-3 HT 0-2 Paredes Paredes POR3
05.10.2025 Paredes Paredes 2-0 HT 2-0 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paredes
2-2
AWAY AD Marco 09
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Paredes vs AD Marco 09
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Paredes and AD Marco 09 shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 3 May 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, Paredes had 57% of the ball to AD Marco 09's 43%, shots finished 16-11.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paredes have the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Paredes and 0.00 for AD Marco 09.

What was the final score of Paredes vs AD Marco 09?

Paredes 2-2 AD Marco 09 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paredes vs AD Marco 09?

Before kick-off our model rated an AD Marco 09 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Paredes 33%, draw 30%, AD Marco 09 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AD Marco 09) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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