Radomlje 2-1 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.62
Away Pick
60%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.74
Over
58%
1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.59
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.9
2-3
39%
2.03
4-5
27%
2.41
6+
12%
5.04
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.9 — our 22% vs market 11.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Radomlje The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor The Market 71%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.08 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.67
2.27 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.98
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
250 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomlje
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Maribor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
45% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2026 Maribor Maribor 2-2 HT 1-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
08.11.2025 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
23.08.2025 Maribor Maribor 5-1 HT 2-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
26.04.2025 Maribor Maribor 4-0 HT 0-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
01.03.2025 Radomlje Radomlje 0-4 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
02.11.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomlje
2-1
AWAY Maribor
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Radomlje vs Maribor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Radomlje found just enough to beat Maribor 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Maribor at 60% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.40, about 71% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Maribor saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Radomlje against 2.83 for Maribor.

Radomlje vs Maribor Result & Final Score

Radomlje 2-1 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Radomlje vs Maribor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Radomlje 19%, draw 21%, Maribor 60%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maribor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
3 May 2026
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