Maribor 2-2 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.59
Over
60%
1.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.64
No
42%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
21%
5.22
2-3
38%
1.95
4-5
27%
2.51
6+
14%
5.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.22 — our 21% vs market 13.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Maribor The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje The Market 18%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.54 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.11
0.75 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.56
Great Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Strong
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Radomlje
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
23.08.2025 Maribor Maribor 5-1 HT 2-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
26.04.2025 Maribor Maribor 4-0 HT 0-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
01.03.2025 Radomlje Radomlje 0-4 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
02.11.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
18.08.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
2-2
AWAY Radomlje
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Maribor vs Radomlje
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 2-2 draw left Maribor and Radomlje with a point apiece. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Maribor at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) landed.

On the day, possession split 67% to 33% in Maribor's favour, shots finished 18-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Maribor against 0.50 for Radomlje.

Maribor vs Radomlje Result & Final Score

Maribor 2-2 Radomlje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Maribor vs Radomlje Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Maribor 65%, draw 19%, Radomlje 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maribor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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