Maribor 5-1 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.47
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
8.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
64%
+4.2pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.0pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +8%
2.47/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.50
+25% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Radomlje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Maribor Maribor 4-0 HT 0-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
01.03.2025 Radomlje Radomlje 0-4 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
02.11.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
18.08.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
29.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 0-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
06.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-2 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
5-1
AWAY Radomlje
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Radomlje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor cruised past Radomlje 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Maribor had 53% of the ball to Radomlje's 47%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maribor and 0.50 for Radomlje.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Radomlje?

Maribor 5-1 Radomlje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Radomlje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Maribor 68%, draw 18%, Radomlje 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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