Koper 2-1 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

Koper
2-1 HT 1-0
Mura
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
2.09/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.54
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mura
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2025 Mura Mura 1-3 HT 1-2 Koper Koper SLVN
29.03.2025 Koper Koper 1-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
26.02.2025 Mura Mura 0-1 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVNK
08.12.2024 Mura Mura 1-3 HT 1-2 Koper Koper SLVN
22.09.2024 Koper Koper 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
14.04.2024 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
2-1
AWAY Mura
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Koper vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper nicked a narrow win over Mura 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Koper as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Koper had 59% of the ball to Mura's 41%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Koper had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Koper and 0.50 for Mura.

What was the final score of Koper vs Mura?

Koper 2-1 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Koper 56%, draw 21%, Mura 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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