Koper 1-0 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

Koper
1-0 HT 1-0
Mura
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +22%
1.25/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.37
-7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Mura
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2025 Mura Mura 0-1 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVNK
08.12.2024 Mura Mura 1-3 HT 1-2 Koper Koper SLVN
22.09.2024 Koper Koper 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
14.04.2024 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
03.04.2024 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVNK
23.03.2024 Koper Koper 2-1 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
1-0
AWAY Mura
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Koper vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper squeezed past Mura 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Koper as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Koper had 62% of the ball to Mura's 38%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Koper had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Koper and 0.67 for Mura.

What was the final score of Koper vs Mura?

Koper 1-0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Koper 44%, draw 30%, Mura 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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