Domzale 0-1 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
30%
2.77
6+ Goals
9%
7.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.5pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
53%
Away Win
61%
-8.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 66%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.16/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.12
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -23%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Celje
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2024 Celje Celje 2-2 HT 0-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
22.09.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-3 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
21.04.2024 Celje Celje 2-3 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
25.02.2024 Domzale Domzale 2-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
27.10.2023 Celje Celje 3-1 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
20.08.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
0-1
AWAY Celje
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje nicked a narrow win over Domzale 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Domzale had 33% of the ball to Celje's 67%, shots finished 4-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Domzale and 2.17 for Celje.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Celje?

Domzale 0-1 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Domzale 27%, draw 20%, Celje 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
29 Mar 2025
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