Mura 1-3 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 25 May 2025

Mura
1-3 HT 1-2
Koper
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.6pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
1.41/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.00
+23% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Koper
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Koper Koper 1-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
26.02.2025 Mura Mura 0-1 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVNK
08.12.2024 Mura Mura 1-3 HT 1-2 Koper Koper SLVN
22.09.2024 Koper Koper 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
14.04.2024 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
03.04.2024 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
1-3
AWAY Koper
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Mura vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper beat Mura 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Koper as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mura had 51% of the ball to Koper's 49%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Koper led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mura and 1.17 for Koper.

What was the final score of Mura vs Koper?

Mura 1-3 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mura 31%, draw 21%, Koper 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✗ BTTS No
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