Maribor vs Nafta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maribor v Nafta — Team-Based Signals
Maribor vs Nafta Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Maribor 0-1 Nafta — Actual Match Statistics
Nafta nicked a narrow win over Maribor 1-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Maribor at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Maribor had 61% of the ball to Nafta's 39%, shots finished 14-10.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maribor and 1.00 for Nafta.
What was the final score of Maribor vs Nafta?
Maribor 0-1 Nafta in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maribor vs Nafta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Maribor 60%, draw 23%, Nafta 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.