Al-Qadsiah vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Qadsiah v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals
Al-Qadsiah vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Al Nassr
SUUD
2-0
HT 0-0
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
3-1
HT 1-0
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
Al-Qadsiah 3-1 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics
Al-Qadsiah saw off Al Nassr 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Al Nassr at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 52% of the ball to Al Nassr's 48%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 2.53 to 0.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al-Qadsiah had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 1.33 for Al Nassr.
What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Nassr?
Al-Qadsiah 3-1 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Nassr?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 27%, draw 20%, Al Nassr 54%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nassr) went the other way.